Lamar Jackson, Ravens set for DFS dominance against Jets

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22


It has been a protracted, lengthy offseason. We’ve seen fantasy-relevant gamers change groups at the next fee than ever earlier than, and now, lastly, we will begin to see if our priors shall be confirmed.

Every week on this column you may discover a plethora of content material that will help you assault day by day fantasy sports activities (DFS) contests. Whether or not you’re a money sport participant otherwise you desire to grind out 150 lineups every week and chase the very best prizes on provide, there shall be all types of gamers right here you may wish to roster. Not solely that, however you’re going to get all of the stats to again up the performs. I will additionally recommend stacks and bring-backs wherever doable. With out additional ado, let’s dive in.

Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson $7300 at New York Jets (44.0 Over/Underneath)

Week 1 of the season often sees gamers priced at their lowest worth all season, and at $7300, this could possibly be a kind of events. In 2021, Lamar Jackson threw the ball a median of 31.8 occasions per sport, an uptick of over 5 extra passes per sport from is earlier seasons in Baltimore. The reasoning behind this was crystal-clear: season-ending accidents to J.Ok Dobbins and Gus Edwards. The Ravens have performed issues cautiously with the return of each backs, and it stays to be seen how closely Dobbins may be relied on within the early fixtures that Edwards will miss. The Ravens should wish to be a run-heavy staff, however it appears unlikely early on with a bunch of uninspiring choices on the roster, and towards the Jets to open the season, a motivated Jackson is somebody I will be pleased to make use of regardless of the rostership.

Utilization Recommendations: Jackson may be locked in to all kinds of lineups this weekend, be they money or event. Stacks with Mark Andrews would possibly show chalky, however by including James Proche (who was the discuss of camp until a soft-tissue damage occurred) or stacking Rashod Bateman and Isaiah Possible, there are nonetheless methods to be totally different. Operating it again with both Elijah Moore or Michael Carter, who ought to see extra passing down utilization out of the gate, is an effective solution to additional construct out that stack.

Jalen Hurts $6800 vs. Detroit Lions (48.0 Over/Underneath)

The Eagles have put their belief in Hurts and can give him each alternative to point out he deserves to be their starter transferring ahead, and a Week 1 matchup towards the Detroit Lions is not a nightmare by any means. The Lions have had one other strong offseason, and the rebuild is in good progress. The Eagles are a staff beginning to collect Tremendous Bowl hype, and they need to wish to make an early assertion. In 2021, Hurts was a QB1 in 12 video games and top-five 4 occasions; with improved weapons round him, that pattern ought to proceed. Hurts’ ceiling is QB1 general.

Utilization Recommendations: Individuals may be taking a wait-and-see strategy on this offense with early rostership projections not wanting too chalky for both Hurts or A.J Brown. Play the Disneyland Finest Mates narrative and stack them up in tournaments.

Trey Lance $6000 at Chicago Bears (41.0 Over/Underneath)

Even the hardiest of Trey Lance truthers (sure, I’m speaking about myself) will admit that issues will not at all times be fairly this 12 months. The straightforward reality is that Lance is a uncooked prospect who has barely performed within the final two seasons, however regardless of the downfalls, he nonetheless has athleticism and elite upside, particularly for fantasy. At $6000, we ideally want Lance to place up 18 to twenty factors to make him a profitable play for DFS. The Bears don’t seem like a staff able to put up a battle in 2022, and the over/underneath is dragged down due to that. Chicago’s roster has holes and flaws in lots of areas, and final 12 months the Bears had the ninth-worst rating in run defense DVOA. While the staff has been engaged on fixing the secondary, it has come on the expense of defensive gamers nearer the road of scrimmage. Lance may be just a little little bit of the unknown at this level, but when Kyle Shanahan decides to essentially assault the Bears on the bottom, Lance would possibly simply choose up the hundred-yard dashing bonus.

Utilization Recommendations: It is tempting to stack Lance with Brandon Aiyuk ($5200) after optimistic stories all 12 months make them an alluring concept at simply 22.4% of your wage. It is a stack that brings with it some threat, given the low over/underneath, so I would not count on this to be generally rostered. I’d primarily contemplate this stack for smaller area contests with lower than a thousand entrants. In any other case, I am additionally content material utilizing Lance on his personal, and not using a stack. If George Kittle does miss the sport as a result of damage, the Aiyuk play shall be loads chalkier.

Matt Ryan $5500 at Houston Texans (46.0 over/underneath)

In fantasy soccer, it is most unlikely that Ryan can ever attain the ceilings of the youthful dual-threat quarterbacks already listed, however at this price, we do not at all times want him to. The Texans have much more work to do of their rebuild, however they’ve a feisty sufficient offense that they’ll keep in video games, to an extent, even when their protection struggles, which ought to assist this sport keep attention-grabbing. The Colts teaching workers has raved about Ryan all offseason, and in the event you’re seeking to pay down on the place he represents my favourite selection.

Utilization Recommendations: Ryan does not have the ceiling value enjoying in tournaments until it unlocks actually high-ceiling performs elsewhere. It is a borderline play for money video games in the event you imagine Jonathan Taylor is not a powerful play at his price.

Operating Backs

Alvin Kamara $7600 at Atlanta Falcons (42.0 over/underneath)

The Saints begin the season with a visit to their division rivals in Atlanta, a Falcons staff that ranked useless final in all however two weeks of our DVOA metric in 2021. This sport is the bottom over/underneath of the week, even decrease than Monday night time’s Seahawks towards the Broncos. Sometimes in DFS we wish to keep away from low-scoring contests, however there’s one thing a couple of sport like this that at all times attracts curiosity. In Kamara’s NFL profession, he has had a few of his largest video games towards the Falcons, together with as soon as in 2018 when he noticed a monster 20 targets. While 20 targets may be out of attain with out Drew Brees checking right down to Kamara, groups are going to must respect the Saints passing sport greater than they did final 12 months. With an improved large receiver corps, defenses will not be capable of stack the field as closely, and Kamara ought to see sturdy utilization towards a staff that has struggled defending towards operating backs within the passing sport in earlier years.

Utilization Recommendations: At this price ticket, there is a component of threat baked in, however for tournaments, Kamara has slate-breaking potential. Pairing him with Kyle Pitts offers you entry to a very high-ceiling correlation.

Saquon Barkley $6100 at Tennessee Titans (44.0 over/underneath)

By now we all know it may be unwise to hope for an excessive amount of from operating backs coming off ACL accidents, however there’s additionally sufficient information on the market to recommend that operating backs a 12 months faraway from their returns are typically far more productive. The Giants have given no indications that they plan to make use of Barkley lower than in his glory days, they usually have solely Matt Breida of observe behind him. It is also value reiterating that Saquon’s 2021 damage was a freak incidence the place his foot was stepped on by one other participant between performs. Brian Daboll was by no means a very run-heavy play-caller throughout his time in Buffalo, however with Kenny Golladay, Kadarius Toney and Sterling Shepard all carrying varied accidents into the opener, the Giants merely aren’t blessed with choices. Since Barkley’s breakout 12 months, he now appears set to play behind one of the best offensive line of his profession and free from the typically perplexing play-calling of Jason Garrett. We could possibly be primed for a renaissance.

Utilization Recommendations: At $6100, Barkley is reasonable sufficient that he must be widespread in each money and tournaments. The Titans lack apparent bring-back solutions with Robert Woods getting back from damage and Treylon Burks battling conditioning by way of camp. A speculative play would contain paying down at tight finish for Austin Hooper ($3700), who has reportedly proven good rapport with Ryan Tannehill this offseason.

Dameon Pierce $4800 vs. Colts

It is uncommon to discover a beginning operating again as low cost as this in DFS, and Pierce’s value will definitely rise to the mid-$5000 vary subsequent week, barring a very terrible show. The Colts aren’t an amazing matchup for the Texans operating again, and it is doable that Pierce is scripted out if the Colts warmth up, however at $4800 Pierce must be in consideration for money sport lineups and tournaments. The Texans have given us each indication they imagine in Pierce’s skill to deal with this workload, with the newest proof being they lower Marlon Mack not as soon as however twice in per week (as soon as after he had re-signed to the follow squad). Pierce does not have the breakaway pace to show a sport on its head, however he does have the sturdy short-yardage skill to make him useful across the aim line, and he holds his personal in move safety. Do not be stunned when he stays on the sphere persistently.

Utilization Recommendations: Keep away from pairing with Jonathan Taylor, because it’s unlikely for opposing operating backs to each hit ceiling outcomes until each groups actually draw back from the passing sport.

Kareem Hunt $5700 vs. Carolina Panthers (43.0 over/underneath)

One other low-scoring sport takes place in Charlotte, the place a lot of the eye shall be on the quarterbacks who’re enjoying and one who is not. The Browns opted to maintain a maintain of Kareem Hunt and his very tradeable contract, for now a minimum of, and there was no cause to count on his work shall be lower than in earlier years. Hunt has performed 28 profession video games with Nick Chubb throughout their time in Cleveland and averaged 14.17 PPR factors. It has at all times been very doable for the 2 to co-exist and be fantasy-relevant. This sport seems like one the sphere shall be fading, and anytime that occurs I turn out to be intrigued.

Utilization Recommendations: Hunt’s model of play makes him an attention-grabbing correlation for DJ Moore, with the concept being that if Moore scores a lot of factors, the Browns shall be in hurry-up mode and Hunt ought to see extra alternatives.

Vast Receivers

Juju Smith-Schuster $5200 vs. Arizona Cardinals (54.0 over/underneath)

Week 1’s highest over/underneath comes within the Arizona desert with the kind of projection that may draw plenty of curiosity. Each quarterbacks (Patrick Mahomes and Kyler Murray) carry costly value tags and also will see a excessive proportion of gamers roster them. The Chiefs’ operating sport is a messy scenario to become involved in and Travis Kelce is the second-highest-priced tight finish on the slate, however at receiver, the choices are much more interesting. For the primary time in Smith-Schuster’s profession, we get an opportunity to see whether or not his utilization in Pittsburgh was held again by Ben Roethlisberger’s ageing methods. Camp stories have been effusive of Smith-Schuster, and it looks like he and Mahomes have constructed up a powerful relationship on the follow area. On DraftKings with their PPR format, Smith-Schuster may see sufficient quantity to simply rack up 15 or 20 factors if this sport goes the way in which Vegas expects.

Utilization Recommendations: In small area tournaments underneath 1,000 entries this sport seems prime for an onslaught stack of 4 to 5 choices. It is fully doable for Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Travis Kelce to all be fantasy-viable on this sport. For money video games, Smith-Schuster’s sort of play seems probably the most wise possibility.

Rondale Moore $4000 vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (54.0 over/underneath)

I count on most individuals shall be drawn to Arizona’s shiny new signing Marquise Brown for this sport week, and at $6200 he is a strong play, however I imagine the higher worth play is to decide on Rondale Moore as a substitute. With DeAndre Hopkins lacking the primary six video games, the Cardinals are having to lean on different choices to begin the season, and the drumbeat has been regular from Kliff Kingsbury every time he has had the prospect to hype up Moore. In Moore’s rookie season, he had a mind-bogglingly low 2.0-yard common depth of goal; that wasn’t supreme for fantasy gamers in commonplace leagues, however due to the character of PPR, it meant Moore turned in a couple of fantasy-worthy performances. In video games the place Moore noticed greater than 5 targets in 2021, he averaged 16.6 DraftKings factors. In a excessive over/underneath the place we must be seeking to get entry to loads of performs, this one stands out.

Utilization Recommendations: Moore is an alluring play for tournaments in virtually all varieties, however he isn’t any individual I would contemplate for money video games.

Christian Kirk $5100 vs. Washington Commanders (44.0 over/underneath)

The Jaguars have washed away the stench of 2021, and 2022 is bringing a touch of cautious optimism from some Jacksonville followers. Opening the season towards one other staff that has loads of query marks is an effective solution to get the marketing campaign underway, and Trevor Lawrence may be just a little bit grateful that Commanders pass-rusher Chase Younger is on IR for a minimum of the primary 4 weeks. Christian Kirk made a huge impact on the large receiver market when he was signed by the Jaguars, and all of the stories this summer time have stated Kirk is wanting the a part of a No. 1 receiver up to now. Washington ranked dead-last in in pass defense DVOA on third and fourth downs final 12 months. The Commanders merely could not make a cease, however they’ve introduced again lots of the similar starters and have the identical defensive coordinator (Jack Del Rio). It’s extremely onerous for me to see a state of affairs the place the Jaguars haven’t got passing success, and it feels very probably that runs by way of Kirk. At $5100, he is as low cost because it will get for a WR1 on this slate.

Utilization Recommendations: This is not a sport many will assault closely, and the easiest way to make use of Kirk looks like both as a standalone event play or as a part of a small correlation with one Commanders receiver.

Ok.J. Osborn $4900 vs. Inexperienced Bay Packers (47.0 over/underneath)

Former Rams offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell kicks off his first season as a head coach with a divisional rivalry sport towards the Packers. All through this offseason, O’Connell has talked up Osborn as a participant who shall be relied on greater than beforehand. Osborn is coming into his third season within the league on the again of a strong sophomore marketing campaign the place he picked up 82 targets and turned them into 655 yards and 7 touchdowns. With the Vikings set to play extra receiver-heavy formations, Osborn ought to see alternatives instantly. The Packers protection is not an excellent matchup, however with Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen commanding consideration, Osborn may see some high-value alternatives.

Utilization Recommendations: It is a good solution to get entry to this sport with out paying a excessive value. When you’re tempted to stack Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson, it looks like a layup so as to add Osborn.

Josh Palmer $3800 vs. Las Vegas Raiders (52.0 over/underneath)

In 2021, Palmer flashed throughout his rookie season with occasional days of fantasy relevance while he break up time with Jalen Guyton, who has re-signed on a veteran minimal this offseason. The WR3 function appears to be firmly Palmer’s now, and after averaging 28.8% of snaps over the primary 10 weeks, Palmer’s utilization jumped to 58.4% over the remaining weeks of the season. It might be shocking to see the Chargers put him again within the bottle now. With Palmer the most definitely to see protection from Raiders cornerback, Anthony Averett, he is an attention-grabbing play for folks seeking to pay down on the place.

Utilization Recommendations: Too boom-or-bust for money, however a superb addition to any Chargers stacks.

Michael Pittman $5500 vs. Houston Texans (46.0 over/underneath)

It bears repeating that this Colts passing sport must be extra dependable in 2022, and on the coronary heart of it is going to be Michael Pittman. The third-year receiver appears primed for a big leap along with his skill to win all around the area. In 2021, Pittman ranked 18th in DYAR, and the Houston Texans probably haven’t got sufficient expertise to cease him. This value looks like a mistake and one to be taken benefit of.

Utilization Recommendations: At this value and with this matchup, Pittman profiles to be a popular participant, and I would be happier together with him in money lineups than tournaments.

Tight Ends

T.J. Hockenson $4900 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

It appears to have gotten just a little bit misplaced that Hockenson was on observe to have his best season within the NFL earlier than his damage. This was regardless of scoring touchdowns at a decrease fee than his profession common. The Lions offense seems to be able to take one other step ahead, health-permitting, and there must be sufficient targets for each Hockenson and Amon-Ra St. Brown to feast on the kind of lay-up throws Jared Goff lives off of.

Utilization Recommendations: Hockenson makes for an attention-grabbing stack with Goff in tournaments or as a bring-back to Eagles stacks. The value could be very engaging.

Isaiah Possible $2500 at New York Jets

Possible was one of many true stars of preseason 2022. While many questioned the Ravens choice to not draft a alternative for Marquise Brown, the Ravens quietly went about their enterprise and appear to have discovered an actual receiving risk in Possible. While his ceiling shall be capped with Mark Andrews on the town, beat reporters actually imagine Possible may be the third pass-catching risk on this staff.

Utilization Recommendations: Each time you possibly can punt the tight finish place utterly to open up wage at each different place, it is attention-grabbing. It isn’t outlandish to recommend enjoying each Possible and Andrews in stacks for the Ravens, however be sensible with Possible’s ceiling.

Protection

Baltimore Ravens $4000

A chalky and costly choose as they face Joe Flacco.

Miami Dolphins $2600

Camp stories have been rocky for the Patriots. Miami would possibly capitalize.

Jacksonville Jaguars $2500

The Jags would possibly be capable of rattle Carson Wentz in his Commanders debut.

Stack of The Week

You may need already picked up on the truth that I am excessive on the Ravens and Jets sport this week, however that is not the one stack I am excessive on. A.J Brown and Jalen Hurts may be paired collectively for 26.4% of your whole finances, and towards the Lions, I count on them to begin with a bang.

Fade of The Week

The Chicago Bears. There shall be weeks when the Bears are interesting for fantasy soccer, however Week 1 is not one among them. The Bears’ offensive line points are well-known by now, and the 49ers protection seems menacing and will give Justin Fields a nasty begin to 2022.

Money Sport Locks

Kyler Murray $7200
Jalen Hurts $6800
Derrick Henry $8600
Najee Harris $6400
Ja’Maar Chase $7100
Rashod Bateman $5300
Juju Smith-Schuster $5200
Mark Andrews $6800
Gerald Everett $3800

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