SEC vs. the World: Examining an interesting CFB prop bet

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You possibly can debate the whys, however there isn’t any doubt that the SEC is essentially the most profitable soccer convention in America proper now. Nick Saban has elevated Alabama to the highest of the game since he arrived and on the uncommon events when the Crimson Tide doesn’t win a nationwide title, packages like Georgia and LSU rise as much as take it.

Positive, packages like Clemson and Ohio State are stocked with NFL expertise too, however the query is do you wish to wager on it? In opposition to one of the best?

In scouring the percentages board the opposite day I noticed an thrilling prop wager for the upcoming school soccer season…It was Georgia/Alabama to win the championship vs. the sector.

That’s an fascinating wager on quite a lot of ranges, particularly because it was -110 on each side. 

The Worth/Payoff

The factor I do not like about this wager in any respect is the payoff. You might be paying a premium on each side and the sportsbook goes to carry your cash for greater than 5 months. 

That does not imply the percentages are fallacious when it comes to likelihood, however in terms of a futures play I’m on the lookout for one thing that going to not less than double my cash. By comparability, 5 of the eight NFL divisions have higher payoffs when you take the favourite to win proper now, and none of these require a successful efficiency in a championship recreation.

Once more, given how good Georgia and Alabama are this could be priced proper however that doesn’t essentially make it a very good wager.

The Groups

I can’t go too deep on Alabama and Georgia right here however each are tremendous gifted (and performed within the Championship Sport a yr in the past).

With Alabama, you’ve got a crew that may have one of the best offensive participant (QB Bryce Younger) and defensive participant (LB Will Anderson) within the recreation. These two are surrounded and supported by a forged of gamers who’re principally going to get drafted to the NFL in some unspecified time in the future.

With Georgia, they could have peaked final yr (with the championship) however the Bulldogs have continuity on offense at quarterback. Despite the fact that they misplaced a variety of elite performers on protection, the blokes that stay from final yr’s unit are all first-round high quality. 

Each of those groups are anticipated to be favored in all of their video games this season (they usually do not play one another) so it’s arrange the place they might actually each make the playoffs, similar to final season.

The Different Groups

Final yr we noticed a few “new” groups within the playoffs with Michigan and Cincinnati crashing the get together. They have been disposed of with relative ease by the above and will not be actually anticipated to have the products to be concerned once more this season. Heading into the summer season I see just some groups that may make it to the playoffs and knock off the Dawgs or the Tide. 

Ohio State

In terms of expertise accumulation Ohio State is correct there with these two groups. They’ve a quarterback in C.J. Stroud who could be the highest decide in subsequent yr’s draft and greater than sufficient expertise on each side of the ball to win the Massive Ten like they’ve for many of the previous decade. Within the playoff period, Ohio State and Clemson are the one non-SEC groups to win it. 

Clemson

Clemson was “off” final season. After so a few years of elite QB play, it fell at that almost all essential place and it prevented the Tigers from successful like they’ve prior to now. The query is whether or not they have solved the issue or not. Their protection needs to be among the many finest within the nation, so maybe they might observe the formulation Georgia did final season. An undefeated common season continues to be a possible state of affairs. 

USC

The thrill at USC is intense and deservedly so. With head coach Lincoln Riley and QB Caleb Williams coming from Oklahoma, the Trojans have an opportunity to jumpstart a rebuild in SoCal. Riley has gotten groups to the playoffs earlier than and whereas they’ve failed towards the “large boys,” getting in is half the battle. 

Texas A&M

The Aggies could be essentially the most fascinating crew to contemplate in analyzing this wager proper now. There isn’t any approach the SEC might get three groups right into a 4 crew playoff, might they? If Alabama and/or Georgia stumbles the Aggies appear to be one of the best wager within the SEC to take the spot. They’ve recruited effectively so perhaps if the offense takes a step they’re able to lastly win for coach Jimbo Fisher. He has received all of it earlier than. 

Ultimate Evaluation

Getting again to the start of this text, I don’t just like the payoffs with this wager. Taking Alabama or Georgia is tremendous chalky however the odds are saying it’s as prone to occur as not. At this level on the calendar, I’d slightly have the flexibleness of the sector realizing that not less than a few different groups can be in playoffs with an opportunity to knock off one crew or the opposite. 

I’d positively maintain on to this one and see if the percentages change in any respect. As we get nearer to the season you begin to get extra exotics, like Alabama or Clemson vs. Georgia or Ohio State (the place a Cinderella winner turns into a no wager). 

I really like that that is on the board, however it’s the discipline or nothing for me proper now. 





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